Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Karolina Pliskova
August 13, 2022 4:00 pm EDT
The Line: Karolina Pliskova / Beatriz Haddad Maia
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Beatriz Haddad Maia and Karolina Pliskova meet in the semifinal of the 2022 tennis National Bank Open.
Haddad Maia is coming off a 3 sets win over Belinda Bencic that took 26 games to decide. In the victory, Haddad Maia won 75 percent of her first serve points and 34 percent of her second serve points. Haddad Maia won 61 percent of her total service points and converted on 4 of her 6 break points. Haddad Maia got 65 percent of her first serves in play and saved 4 of her 7 break points. Haddad Maia has won 10 of her last 11 matches that have gone the distance. Haddad Maia looks to make her third final appearance of the year and her fourth final appearance of her career. Haddad Maia has won 6 of her last 8 matches on hard court.
Karolina Pliskova is coming off a 3 sets win over Qinwen Zheng that took 30 games to decide. In the victory, Pliskova won 71 percent of her first serve points and 35 percent of her second serve points. Pliskova won 58 percent of her total service points and converted on 5 of her 8 break points. Pliskova got 64 percent of her first serves in play and hit 10 aces. Pliskova has split her last 6 matches that have gone the distance. Pliskova looks to make her first final appearance since last year’s Canadian Open and the 33rd final appearance of her career. Pliskova has a chance to make her eighth WTA 1000 final appearance. Pliskova has won 5 of her last 6 matches on hard court.
These 2 have split the 2 meetings, as Haddad Maia won 2021 Indian Wells and Pliskova won the 2018 Australian Open. Both matches were decided in straight sets.
Haddad Maia has been a dragon slayer in her last 2 matches, and it makes her a live dog here, especially when she beat Pliskova last year. With that said, at some point, I’d assume the shoe is going to drop for the 26-year-old Brazilian. Pliskova is the better player here, no matter how you slice it, and she has a clear edge on hard court with her power shots. Haddad Maia just doesn’t have the experience to continue winning on this stage against top tier players.
Give me Pliskova in straight sets for max betting value.