Caroline Garcia vs Jessica Pegula 8/19/22 Cincinnati Tennis Picks, Predictions, Odds

Jessica Pegula and Caroline Garcia meet in the quarterfinal of the 2022 tennis Western & Southern Open.

Jessica Pegula is coming off a straight set win over Emma Raducanu that took 22 games to decide. In the victory, Pegula won 81 percent of her first serve points and 63 percent of her second serve points. Pegula won 73 percent of her total service points and converted on 3 of her 9 break points. Pegula got 57 percent of her first serves in play and hit 3 aces. Pegula has quietly won 5 of her last 6 matches. Pegula looks to make her fifth career WTA 1000 semifinal appearance. Pegula is 4-4 in career quarterfinal matches in a WTA 1000 tournament. Pegula has won 5 of her last 6 matches on hard court.

Caroline Garcia is coming off a straight set win over Elise Mertens that took 22 games to decide. In the victory, Garcia won 68 percent of her first serve points and 50 percent of her second serve points. Garcia won 61 percent of her total service points and converted on 4 of her 9 break points. Including qualifying, Garcia has won 10 of her last 11 matches. Garcia got 63 percent of her first serves in play and hit 6 aces. Garcia looks to make a WTA 1000 semifinal for the fourth time in her career. Garcia is 3-6 in WTA 1000 quarterfinal matches and hasn’t made a semifinal since 2018 Madrid. Garcia has 19 career wins over top-10 players, and 2 of those wins have come this year. Garcia has won her last 5 matches on hard court.

Pegula has won 2 of the 3 meetings against Garcia. However, it was Garcia who won the most recent match this year in Sydney. That was the only meeting on hard court. 

Garcia has bene on a roll all of a sudden, and that makes her worth a serious look here. Garcia advancing should surprise nobody, especially if her serves stays on point. However, Pegula has been the more consistent player for the most part, she’s played the cleaner tennis this tournament, and she has the edge with the American crowd behind her.

I’ll side with Pegula to advance to the semis.