Ons Jabeur vs Ajla Tomljanovic
September 6, 2022 2:00 pm EDT
The Line: Ajla Tomljanovic +175 / Ons Jabeur -227
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Ons Jabeur and Ajla Tomljanovic meet in the quarterfinal of the 2022 tennis US Open.
Ons Jabeur is coming off a straight set win over Veronika Kudermetova that took 23 games to decide. In the victory, Jabeur won 72 percent of her first serve points and 48 percent of her second serve points. Jabeur won 63 percent of her total service points and converted on 3 of her 3 break points. Jabeur got 60 percent of her first serves in play and hit 11 aces. Jabeur has dropped just 1 set this tournament, and she’s won 12 of her last 16 matches overall. Jabeur looks to make her second career grand slam semifinal. Jabeur is 1-2 in career grand slam quarterfinal matches. Jabeur has won 5 of her last 6 matches on hard court.
Ajla Tomljanovic is coming off a straight set win over Liudmila Samsonova that took 20 games to decide. In the victory, Tomljanovic won 65 percent of her first serve points and 59 percent of her second serve points. Tomljanovic won 62 percent of her total service points and converted on 4 of her 5 break points. Tomljanovic got 55 percent of her first serves in play and saved 8 of her 10 break points. Tomljanovic has now won 9 of her last 10 matches if you include Cincinnati qualifying. Tomljanovic looks to make her first career grand slam semifinal, as she’s 0-2 in previous quarterfinal matches. Tomljanovic has 6 career wins over top-10 players, and 2 of those wins came this year. Tomljanovic has won 9 of her last 10 matches on hard court.
Jabeur has won both meetings against Tomljanovic. The matches took place in a 2012 ITF meeting and this year in Rome.
Tomljanovic is on a nice roll right now, and it’s to the point you have to consider her a threat in this match. With that said, I still need to see a bit more from Tomljanovic before I can trust her against better competition, and her serve still remains shaky at times. Jabeur has been one of the sharper players on the women’s side this season, and we can’t ignore the meeting between these 2 a few months ago, where Jabeur cruised in straight sets.
Give me Jabeur and the reasonable juice.