NBA Picks

Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors 6/10/22 NBA Picks, Predictions, Odds

Golden State Warriors (66-35) vs. Boston Celtics (65-38)
June 10, 2022 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Celtics -3.5; Over/Under: -212.5
(Click here for latest betting odds)

The Golden State Warriors and the Boston Celtics duke it out in a pivotal Game 4 of the NBA Finals at the TD Garden on Friday night.

The Golden State Warriors will be eager to bounce back and square up the series after getting routed by the Celtics in a 116-100 loss in Game 3 on Wednesday. Stephen Curry drained six 3-pointers to lead the team with 31 points on 12 of 22 shooting, Klay Thompson added 25 points while Andrew Wiggins chipped in with 18 points. As a team, the Warriors shot 46 percent from the field and 15 of 40 from the 3-point line as they struggled to find their offense early and trailed by as many as 18 points before they went on a run in the third quarter to take the lead. However, the Warriors’ supporting cast just didn’t contribute, especially in the fourth quarter where they managed just 11 points to allow the Celtics to slip away in the end. Jordan Poole had a quiet game of just 10 points while Draymond Green finished with just two points before fouling out of the game.  

Meanwhile, the Boston Celtics are now gunning for a commanding 3-1 series lead after taking care of business in their first home game of the series. Jaylen Brown led the team with 27 points, nine rebounds and five assists, Jayson Tatum added 26 points with nine assists while Marcus Smart tallied 24 points with seven rebounds and five assists. As a team, the Celtics shot 48 percent from the field and 13 of 35 from the 3-point line as they looked to be in a bit of trouble when they squandered an early 18-point lead, but they kept their composure and dominated the fourth quarter by 23-11 to pull away and win comfortably in the end. The Celtics lost Game 2 thanks to Smart and Horford combining for just four points, but those two players were big as they combined for 35 points and 11 assists.

Looking at the betting trends, the Warriors are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a winning record, 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a loss and 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games. The Celtics are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against a team above .600 and 4-1 ATS in their last five playoff games as a favorite.

Head to head, the under is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings overall, the Warriors are 0-3-1 ATS in the last four meetings in Boston and the Warriors are 5-15-2 ATS in the last 22 meetings overall.

The Warriors looked like they were about to steal Game 3 when they erased that 18-point deficit on Wednesday, but they just didn’t get nearly enough support from Green, Poole or any other player. Now the pressure is on the Warriors to bounce back and they won’t have much time to prepare as this will be the shortest break between games in this series. Jonathan Kuminga could see minutes to help battle the Celtics’ size in the middle, but what they really need is for Green and Poole to help on the offensive end. The Celtics clearly have all the momentum in the series and they would’ve taken so much confidence from their dominant win in Game 3, so It’s hard to back against them, especially when Smart scores points. It’s tempting to go with the Warriors who are basically playing for their season in this game, but I think the Celtics are just too tough to beat in front of their raucous home crowd, so I have the Celtics getting the crucial win in this spot.

Peter Tran's Free Pick:
Boston -3.5
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