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MLB Prop Bets: Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds – July 27, 2022

MLB Prop Bets: Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds - July 27, 2022
2022-07-27 18:40:00 EDT

The Miami Marlins (46-51) face the Cincinnati Reds (37-59) at Great American Ball Park on Wednesday at 6:40pm (ET). Let’s take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Braxton Garrett is the probable pitcher for the Marlins, while Luis Castillo is the probable pitcher for the Reds. The Reds are favored to win at -150, while the Marlins are at +130. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at +100 and UNDER at -121.

  • The Marlins (-141) have a 44-53 Run Line record this season, while the Reds (+120) hold a record of 46-50.
  • The Marlins have a 46-47-4 O/U record this season (meaning 46 games have gone over the total runs line, 47 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Reds have a 50-43-3 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Marlins are averaging 4.0 runs per game this season (24th in the league). Comparatively, the Reds are averaging 4.4 (16th).
  • In the field, the Marlins are allowing 4.2 runs per game this season (12th in the league), while the Reds are allowing an average of 5.4 runs (29th).

Let’s take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Marlins are at .238 (ranking 21st in the Major leagues), while the Reds are batting .239 (19th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Reds have hit 92 (T20th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Marlins have managed 92 (T20th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Marlins have recorded 366 RBIs to rank 24th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Reds have recorded 401 RBIs to rank 17th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Reds have an earned run average of 5.19 this season (30th in the Majors), while The Marlins have an ERA of 3.81 (10th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Marlins have recorded 851 this season, ranking 8th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Reds rank 9th for total strikeouts, recording 850.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .256 against the Reds this season (26th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Marlins’ opponents are at .234 (9th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Marlins 12-24-61 7-11-27 5-13-34 6-9-31 6-15-30 0-0-0 1-0-9
  • Reds 14-22-60 11-10-30 3-12-30 7-5-8 7-17-52 0-0-0 1-3-6

Lead After Three Innings

  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Marlins 30-39-28 15-16-14 15-23-14 16-16-14 14-23-14 0-0-0 1-4-5
  • Reds 29-39-28 22-16-13 7-23-15 8-10-2 21-29-26 0-0-0 3-3-4

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 57-40 in Marlins games this season. The Reds have a 56-40 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Marlins recorded a 2-1 victory over the Reds at Great American Ball Park yesterday. Despite being on the wrong side of that result, Mike Moustakas did what he could, hitting a home run. That result snapped the Reds’ eight-game winning streak against the Marlins at Great American Ball Park.


Robert Steele

I'm not a fan of being called a "quants" (quantitative analyst) or "math wizard" but it's the truth. I'm a numbers guy. I love to crunch the data, make sense of it, and turn it into a winning bet.

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