Week 5: New Mexico State vs FIU 10/1/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

The New Mexico State Aggies and FIU Panthers clash Saturday in week 5 college football action from Aggie Memorial Stadium.

The FIU Panthers will look to rebound from a 73-0 loss at the hands of Western Kentucky to fall to 1-2 on the year. Grayson James has thrown for 488 yards, 4 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 58.4% passing while EJ Wilson Jr. leads FIU with 76 rushing yards. Tyrese Chambers leads FIU with 19 grabs for 175 receiving yards this season. On defense, Demetrius Hill has a team-high 28 total tackles with a team-high 19 solo tackles while Gaethan Bernadel has 15 solo tackles and 1.5 sacks this season.

The New Mexico State Aggies will look to build on their 45-26 win over Hawaii last time out. Gavin Frakes has thrown for 344 yards, 2 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 46.9% passing while Diego Pavia’s thrown for 237 yards and 4 picks on 36.9% passing while also rushing for 98 yards and a pair of scores. Star Thomas has a team-high 253 rushing yards and Jamoni Jones has 147 rushing yards as well. Justice Powers leads NMSU’s receiving group with 161 receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Chris Ojoh has 38 total tackles with 26 solo tackles and a pair of sacks. Lazarus Williams also has a pair of sacks for the Aggie defense this season.

FIU is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a losing record while 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against independent teams while the over is 21-7-1 in their last 29 road games. New Mexico State is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a losing record and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 games in October.

I get the case to be made either way in this one, but I’m looking at the under in this one. Maybe New Mexico State’s result against Hawaii was similar to what we’ll see against another one of the country’s worst in FIU, but I’m also not into relying on New Mexico State’s offense to cover double digits even against FIU as this is a team that only scored 13 points against UTEP and only had 12 against a bad Nevada team. Give me the under in an ugly game that’s probably better left alone if we’re being honest.