Troy vs Louisiana-Monroe 11/19/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Troy Trojans and Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks clash Saturday in a week 12 Sun Belt college football matchup from Veterans Memorial Stadium.

The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks will look to build on back-to-back wins after a 31-28 win over Georgia State last time out. Chandler Rogers has thrown for 2.136 yards, 14 touchdowns and 7 interceptions on 68.9% passing while Malik Jackson has a team-high 452 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns while Andrew Henry has 280 rushing yards and 4 scores as well this year. Tyrone Howell has a team-high 45 receptions for 775 receiving yards while Jevin Frett has 356 receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Zack Woodard has a team-high 60 total tackles while ULM’s defense has combined for 18 sacks and 6 interceptions so far this season.

The Troy Trojans will hope to build on their 7-game win streak after a 10-9 win over Army in their last game. Gunnar Watson has thrown for 2,165 yards, 9 touchdowns and 9 interceptions on 61.6% passing while DK Billingsley and Kimani Vidal have combined for 1,065 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns this season. Tez Johnson has a team-high 692 receiving yards while RaJae’ Johnson has 426 receiving yards with 3 touchdowns and Jabre Barber and Deshon Stoudemire each have 350+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Carlton Martial has a team-high 106 total tackles while T.J. Jackson has a team-high 7 sacks and Richard Jibunor has 5 sacks this season.

Louisiana-Monroe is 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 games following a win. Troy is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a losing record and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games while the under is 5-0 in their last 5 conference games.

I get the case to be made either way in this game, but I’m leaning towards the under here. I kind of like ULM, but Troy’s defense has been so good this season it’s kind of hard to ignore. The bad news for Troy is that the offense hasn’t been very good and I think even against the porous defense of the Warhawks, it’s a spot to not expect a ton of points so give me the under here.