Baylor vs Kansas State 11/12/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Baylor Bears and Kansas State Wildcats do battle Saturday in a Big 12 college football matchup from McLane Stadium.

The Kansas State Wildcats will try to find some consistency after alternating wins and losses in each of their last four games, falling to 6-3 on the year after a 34-27 loss to Texas last time out. Adrian Martinez has thrown for 1,236 yards, 6 touchdowns and an interception on 63.1% passing while Will Howard’s thrown for 521 yards, 6 touchdowns and an interception on 59.6% passing. Deuce Vaughn has a team-high 975 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns while Martinez has 617 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns this season. Malik Knowles leads K-State’s receiving group with 35 grabs for 540 receiving yards while Phillip Brooks has 27 receptions for 402 yards with 3 TDs and Kade Warner has 322 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns as well this season. On defense, Austin Moore has a team-high 61 total tackles while Felix Anudike-Uzomah has a team-high 7.5 sacks. As a unit, Kansas State’s defense has 23 sacks and 11 interceptions so far this season.

The Baylor Bears will try to build on their three-game winning streak after a 38-35 road win over Oklahoma improved Baylor to 6-3 on the year. Blake Shapen has thrown for 1,951 yards, 13 touchdowns and 7 interceptions on 66.8% passing while Richard Reese has 798 rushing yards and 13 touchdowns while Craig Williams and Qualan Jones have combined for 763 rushing yards and 10 rushing TDs this season. Gavin Holmes leads the Bears’ receiving group with 470 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns while Hal Presley and Monaray Baldwin each have 300+ receiving yards as well with a combined 7 touchdowns between the two. On defense, Al Walcott has a team-high 55 total tackles while Baylor’s defense as a whole has combined for 18 sacks and 12 interceptions so far this season.

Kansas State is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss and 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7 road games against a team with a winning home record while the under is 13-4-1 in their last 18 games in November. Baylor is 48-23 ATS in their last 71 games against a team with a winning record and 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games overall while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 games following an ATS win.

I get the case to be made for either team in this game. But I’m looking at K-State here. I like Baylor, especially that defense at home. However, home field hasn’t mattered between these two teams over the years as the road team’s covered in six straight and while Kansas State’s had a couple of tough losses in recent games, they weren’t bad losses against Texas and TCU. I think this one comes down to the wire and wouldn’t be surprised if the line came into play if this game went to OT. Give me the Wildcats and the points here.